中文体育类核心期刊

中国人文社会科学期刊AMI综合评价(A刊)核心期刊

《中文社会科学引文索引》(CSSCI)来源期刊

美国《剑桥科学文摘》(CSA)收录期刊

中国高校百佳科技期刊

中国足球超级联赛运动员冲刺跑动战术目的量化研究

Quantitative Research of Tactical Purposes of Sprint for the Chinese Football Super League Players

  • 摘要:
    目的 采用国际前沿的分类方法,对2021赛季中国足球超级联赛173场比赛中27497次冲刺跑动的战术目的进行界定。
    方法 采取数据级数推断与广义混合线性模型的统计方法,对比保级组和争冠组以及获胜、战平和失利球队冲刺跑动目的的差异性。
    结果 ①“移动去接球”是本队控球时冲刺跑动最多的战术目的(占18.13%);“压迫或逼抢”是对手控球时冲刺跑动最多的战术目的(占31.08%)。②争冠组球队场均完成的以“突入罚球区”“压迫或逼抢”“拦截”为目的的冲刺跑动清晰地高于保级组球队(ES值介于0.44~0.57,可能性>75%)。③获胜球队场均完成的以“切入对方身后”为目的的冲刺跑动清晰地高于失利(ES=0.41,可能性>75%)和战平(ES=0.46,可能性>95%)球队,以“压迫或逼抢”为目的的冲刺跑动则清晰地低于失利(ES=0.57,可能性>99.5%)和战平(ES=0.33,可能性>75%)球队。
    结论 以“压迫和逼抢”为目的的冲刺跑动是比赛中完成最多的冲刺类型,以“突入罚球区”“压迫或逼抢”“拦截”为目的的冲刺跑动是区分球队水平的关键指标,而以“切入对方身后”和“压迫或逼抢”为目的的冲刺跑动是决定比赛胜负的关键要素。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives Using a latest classification system, the study quantified the technical and tactical purpose of 27497 sprints in 173 matches in the 2021 season of the Chinese Football Super League (CSL).
    Methods Employing the magnitude-based inference and the generalized mixed linear modelling, the difference of sprinting purpose of teams of different quality and matches ended with win, draw or loss was evaluated.
    Results ① "Moving to receive the ball" is the most used sprinting when the team is in ball possession (making up 18.13% of the total), while "pressing or closing down" is the most used sprinting when the team is not in ball possession (making up 31.08% of the total). ② Among the championship group teams, the average number of sprinting aimed at "breaking into box", "pressing or closing down" and "intercepting" is clearly higher than that of the relegation group teams (the ES ranging from 0.44 to 0.57, likelihood > 75%). ③ The winning teams have a substantially higher average number of sprinting aimed at "running in behind" compared to the losing (ES = 0.41, likelihood > 75%) and drawing (ES = 0.46, likelihood > 95%) teams. The sprinting aimed at "pressing or closing down" are substantially lower for the losing (ES = 0.57, likelihood > 99.5%) and drawing (ES = 0.33, likelihood > 75%) teams.
    Conclusion The sprint with the purpose of "pressing or closing down" is the most frequent in the matches of CSL. The sprint with purpose of "breaking into box", "pressing or closing down" and "interceptions" are indicators that discriminate the team strength; meanwhile, the sprint aimed at "running in behind" and "pressing or closing down" are indicators that determinate the outcome of the match.

     

/

返回文章
返回