中文体育类核心期刊

中国人文社会科学期刊AMI综合评价(A刊)核心期刊

《中文社会科学引文索引》(CSSCI)来源期刊

美国《剑桥科学文摘》(CSA)收录期刊

中国高校百佳科技期刊

新质生产力对民族传统体育产业现代化的影响机制及空间效应基于长江经济带的实证研究

Impact Mechanism and Spatial Effect of New Quality Productive Forces on the Modernization of Traditional Ethnic Sports IndustryAn Empirical Analysis Based on the Yangtze River Economic Belt

  • 摘要: 基于2015—2022年长江经济带11个省市的面板数据,构建民族传统体育产业现代化综合评价体系,综合运用基准回归模型、中介效应模型与空间计量模型揭示新质生产力对民族传统体育产业现代化的双重影响机制及空间效应。发现:①基准回归分析表明,新质生产力对民族传统体育产业现代化具有显著的正向直接影响,中介效应进一步揭示了新质生产力通过提升数字文化产业创新效率间接促进民族传统体育产业现代化;②地区异质性检验结果显示,新质生产力的促进作用存在显著的区域差异,表现为下游地区最强,中游地区次之,上游地区最弱;③空间效应分析表明,新质生产力提升对本地区民族传统体育产业现代化具有显著的正向影响,对周边相邻地区则产生了负向空间溢出,存在“回波效应”。建议:分层施策,精准培育新质生产力;提升数字文化产业创新效率,畅通中介路径;加强区域协同联动,破解负向空间溢出。

     

    Abstract: Based on the panel data from 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2015 to 2022, a comprehensive evaluation system for the modernization of traditional ethnic sports industry was constructed. The benchmark regression model, mediation effect model and spatial econometric model were used to systematically reveal the dual impact mechanism and spatial effects of new quality productive forces on the modernization of traditional ethnic sports industry. The benchmark regression analysis shows that the new quality productive forces has a significantly positive direct impact on its modernization, and the mediating effect further reveals that new quality productive forces can indirectly promote its modernization by improving the innovation efficiency of digital cultural industry. The results of regional heterogeneity testing show that there are significant regional differences in the promoting effect of new quality productive forces, with the strongest in downstream areas, followed by midstream areas and the weakest in upstream areas; while the spatial effect analysis shows that the improvement of new quality productive forces has a significantly positive direct effect on the modernization of traditional ethnic sports industry in the local area, but it has a negative spatial spillover effect on neighboring areas with an "echo effect". Based on this, suggestions are proposed as follows: stratified policies are taken to precisely cultivate new quality productive forces, the innovation efficiency of digital cultural industry improved to smooth the intermediary path, and regional collaboration linked to crack negative overflows.

     

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