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考书健, 虞丽娟. 基于偏移度的上海市公务员体质健康风险预警模型研究[J]. 上海体育学院学报 , 2018, 42(3): 90-94, 110. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2018.03.015
引用本文: 考书健, 虞丽娟. 基于偏移度的上海市公务员体质健康风险预警模型研究[J]. 上海体育学院学报 , 2018, 42(3): 90-94, 110. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2018.03.015
KAO Shujian, YU Lijuan. A Deviation-based Study of Physical Fitness Risk Pre-warning Model of the Civil Servants in Shanghai[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Sport, 2018, 42(3): 90-94, 110. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2018.03.015
Citation: KAO Shujian, YU Lijuan. A Deviation-based Study of Physical Fitness Risk Pre-warning Model of the Civil Servants in Shanghai[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Sport, 2018, 42(3): 90-94, 110. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2018.03.015

基于偏移度的上海市公务员体质健康风险预警模型研究

A Deviation-based Study of Physical Fitness Risk Pre-warning Model of the Civil Servants in Shanghai

  • 摘要: 运用问卷调查、数理统计和数学建模等方法,构建上海市公务员体质健康风险预警模型,在对样本数据聚类和分层的基础上进行群体偏移度和个体偏移度表达。结果显示:公务员体质健康单一指标风险评价和总风险评价在性别聚类和年龄分层的条件下具有较高的拟合度,群体偏移状况明显;大样本量风险预警实测值分布理想,具有良好的收敛性,可有效表达公务员体质健康风险预警程度,表明该体质健康风险预警模型有效。

     

    Abstract: This paper, by adopting the methods of questionnaire, statistics and mathematical modeling, designs and builds a physical fitness risk pre-warning model for the civil servants in Shanghai.Based on the cluster analysis and stratifying analysis of the sample data, it then explores the deviation both individually and collectively.The results show that the single-indicator risk assessment and the general-indicator risk assessment of the civil servants' physical fitness have a high goodness of fit under the condition of gender clustering and age stratifying, with an obvious group deviation though. Besides, there is an ideal distribution of the large sample's risk pre-warning value with a good convergence, which can effectively describe civil servants' health risk pre-warning degree, showing the effectiveness of this pre-warning model.

     

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