中文体育类核心期刊

中国人文社会科学期刊AMI综合评价(A刊)核心期刊

《中文社会科学引文索引》(CSSCI)来源期刊

美国《剑桥科学文摘》(CSA)收录期刊

中国高校百佳科技期刊

吴键, 袁圣敏, 邢玮. 基于Ologit模型的校园足球比赛成绩影响因素分析[J]. 上海体育学院学报 , 2019, 43(3): 100-105, 112. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2019.03.015
引用本文: 吴键, 袁圣敏, 邢玮. 基于Ologit模型的校园足球比赛成绩影响因素分析[J]. 上海体育学院学报 , 2019, 43(3): 100-105, 112. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2019.03.015
WU Jian, YUAN Shengmin, XING Wei. Ologit-based Analysis of Factors Affecting Campus Football Performance[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Sport, 2019, 43(3): 100-105, 112. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2019.03.015
Citation: WU Jian, YUAN Shengmin, XING Wei. Ologit-based Analysis of Factors Affecting Campus Football Performance[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Sport, 2019, 43(3): 100-105, 112. DOI: 10.16099/j.sus.2019.03.015

基于Ologit模型的校园足球比赛成绩影响因素分析

Ologit-based Analysis of Factors Affecting Campus Football Performance

  • 摘要: 利用2016、2017年中国教育科学研究院教育综合改革试验区青少年校园足球联赛的比赛成绩和单项足球技能测试成绩数据,使用Ologit(Ordinal logit)模型探讨校园足球联赛比赛成绩与队员基本技能测试成绩的关联效应。结果显示:①挡板传控球和运动绕杆射门是影响球员所在球队成绩的关键因素,二者与球队成绩呈正向相关性,其中挡板传控球技术对球队成绩影响更大;②带球10 m折返跑对小学组成绩有显著影响,其可能并不是一项非常合适的测度青少年球员技术水平的项目;③中学组球员颠球技术与球队成绩呈显著正相关;④无论全样本还是分组样本,球员所在城市职业球队个数与球员所在球队成绩呈显著正相关,说明城市的足球氛围越浓厚越有助于青少年球队成绩的提升。

     

    Abstract: This study uses Ologit Model to discuss the relevant effect between the school competition performance ranking in Campus Football League Matches and players' skills test achievements with the data of the results of 2016 and 2017 Youth Campus Football League matches and individual football skill tests in the pilot area of comprehensive education reform of the National Institute of Education Science.The main conclusions are as follows:① Baffle passing and ball-around shooting are the key factors affecting the team's performance, and there is a significant positive correlation with the team's performance.Baffle passing and ball-around technology has a greater impact on team's performance; while the 10-meter return running and ball-throwing technology have no statistical significance on team's performance.② The influence of 10-meter return running with the ball on the primary school group becomes significant, but the impact of this technology on the junior high school group is not significant.It can be seen that the 10-meter return run with the ball may not be a very suitable project to measure the technical level of young players.③ A significant positive correlation between middle school players' playing skills and team performance can be found; ④ Regardless of the whole sample or the grouping sample, the number of professional teams in the city where the players belong and the team performance show a significant positive correlation, indicating that the stronger the football atmosphere in the city, the better the team performance.

     

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